The 130th Annual Meeting of APHA

4137.0: Tuesday, November 12, 2002 - Board 8

Abstract #52469

Rural and urban traffic fatalities, vehicle miles, and population density

David Clark, MD, Maine Medical Center, 887 Congress Street, Suite 210, Portland, ME 04102, 207-774-2381, clarkd@mmc.org

Objectives: To evaluate the effect of population density on the rates of motor vehicle mortality in rural and urban areas, while controlling for vehicle miles traveled (VMT).

Methods: Rural and urban data for traffic mortality, VMT, and population were obtained for each state from the Federal Highway Administration for 1998-2000. Linear regression was used to estimate the effect of population density and VMT per capita on the mortality rates.

Results: Variation in rural mortality rate (per 100,000 population) was proportional to rural VMT per capita, but population density and southern location were also independent predictors, together accounting for 91% of this variation. Variation in urban mortality rates was not affected by population density, but urban rates were also higher in the south. The exposure-based rural mortality rate (deaths per 100 million VMT) was inversely proportional to population density, which along with southern location explained 41% of the variation from state to state.

Conclusions: After controlling for VMT and southern location, state population density was a moderately strong predictor of rural but not urban traffic mortality rates.

Learning Objectives:

Presenting author's disclosure statement:
I do not have any significant financial interest/arrangement or affiliation with any organization/institution whose products or services are being discussed in this session.

Latebreaker Posters in Injury Control

The 130th Annual Meeting of APHA